How Will Education Change by 2030?

1.5 million new teachers each year — that’s how many teachers the global education market will need over the next ten years. HolonIQ, the world’s leading platform for influence market analysis, made these forecasts. Experts foresee five scenarios of education development to 2030. What will be the role of technology? Will traditional schools and universities remain relevant? How will the requirements for teachers change? We have translated for you the most critical educational forecasts.

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Scenario №1: Education the old way

Advanced economies are facing a demographic crisis. They lack a labor force, so the demand for educated workers from developing countries is growing. It contributes to better productivity and global income equality.

Traditional educational institutions are still trusted. They train the most workers. At the same time, they are changing to meet the challenges of technologization. As a consequence, there is structural reform in higher education. Smaller universities are being merged or closed if they do not have the resources to become technologically advanced. Those institutions of higher education that can quickly acquire applied skills for new or technologically advanced industries remain.

Governments financially support those institutions that train the skills needed for the economy. The emphasis is not on the quality of the educational process but on the practicality of the knowledge that can be obtained.

There is also a growing demand for English language skills. Educated workers mainly speak it from developing countries.

Schooling and formal higher education are still expensive. They lack innovation, so investors support alternative models of education.

Scenario №2: Regional Rise

Regional integration among developing countries is becoming more intense. Regional alliances dominate the competitive educational landscape. Countries with multilateral agreements work together to solve unique regional problems while preserving important aspects of their cultures.

National education systems cooperate. They align curricula and share learning resources. Regional recognition of teacher qualifications, regional professional development networks, and regional exchange programs for educators are common.

Asian, African, and Middle Eastern countries form the most significant number of alliances. They are fighting a brain drain into Western countries. Joint efforts improve the quality of education and create more lucrative jobs for educated workers.

Costs to governments are reduced by streamlining educational processes at the regional level. Countries retain their unique secondary and higher education systems. At the same time, blended learning format within regions is becoming increasingly popular. Institutions are exchanging expertise and materials.

Regional “talent hubs” are emerging — countries with labor shortages can hire specialists from here.

Scenario №3: Global giants

The world has become even more globalized. There is an integration of international trade, technology, and human capital and an unprecedented cross-cultural exchange of ideas and values.

Higher education providers are consolidating to compete with mega-organizations in the global education marketplace. Education without borders” is becoming commonplace. It responds to the demand for mobility and technology in learning. Technology giants cover a $10 trillion global education market. Pupils and students in developing countries learn primarily through smartphones. The lines between education and technology are becoming increasingly blurred.

Confidence in conventional universities is falling. Only those institutions that rely on innovation and build their brand remain in demand.

Governments continue to support schools. The educational process is as technologized and personalized as possible. Parents and teachers can get real-time updates on student progress through gadgets.

Scenario 4: Peer to Peer, or P2P

Interconnectivity between people is growing thanks to technology. Trust in institutions is declining globally. The demand for decentralized learning networks is growing: “alternative accreditation” is becoming more popular than traditional education.

80% of the population uses smartphones. Learning occurs online through personalized peer-to-peer (peer-to-peer, or P2P) knowledge exchange. Through micro-tasking, regular education is integrated into the daily routine.

The structure of schooling has not changed. The curricula offered by governments remain, and children continue to be taught in classrooms. Teachers are constantly exchanging experiences with colleagues online. The role of global platforms with recommendations, ratings, and translations of materials is growing.

Control shifts from institutions to individuals. Instead of diplomas, students receive many micro-certificates from several providers of educational services. They choose what knowledge and skills to acquire rather than being guided by a university program.

Employees are constantly upgrading their skills and updating their knowledge. Flexible and personalized training is a priority. Sharing knowledge and expertise with the world has never been easier or cheaper.

Scenario 5: The educational robot revolution

Economically advanced countries are using artificial intelligence to compensate for labor shortages in many industries. Routine tasks are being automated. Human capital is being channeled into more value-creating areas.

There is a growing demand for virtual tutors, mentors, and teachers. Most adults interact with “ubiquitous coaches” online. They organize and manage the process based on learners’ progress and preferences.

Universities help students form an individualized educational trajectory. On-demand, they provide expertise and facilitate sharing of knowledge in the community.

School teachers have virtual assistants who monitor children’s academic progress and the effectiveness of the curriculum. They also perform administrative tasks. For example, they monitor attendance, grade tests, and offer instructional materials. The teacher instead focuses directly on teaching. Student results are reported to parents and teachers in real-time online.